The reasons to buy European currency

12.01.2021

We open Buy positions for two reasons. Firstly, the Federal Reserve will make more than double purchases of Treasury bonds today compared to Monday and it will have a negative influence on the value of dollar. The increase of dollar’s liquidity in the financial system will contribute to a short-term depreciation of the American currency. Today the US Treasury will place and redeem $120 of Treasury securities. This is a neutral factor for the foreign exchange market. On Friday, January 15, the Ministry of Finance will place bonds in the amount of $63.6 billion. The outflow of liquidity will lead to an increase in the dollar at the end of the week.

Secondly, investors are buying copper actively today and it will have a positive influence on the euro since the asset is historically correlated with each other.

Investment idea: Buy 1.2120 / 1.2100 and take profit 1.2200.